What would have happened to Russia if Nicholas II had remained on the throne?

PHOTO: Emperor Nicholas II set against the backdrop of symbols of the Russian Empire and monarchy: the regalia, the throne and the double-headed eagle

Any one who shares an interest in the life and reign of Russia’s last Tsar, has more than likely asked themselves, “what if there was no revolution?”, “what if Russia had won the war against Germany?”, and more importantly, “what if Nicholas II remained on the throne?”. What would have happened to Russia?

This article shares the opinions of three prominent Russians: a journalist, a highly respected historian, and a publicist. Below, they share very different opinions about the successes and failures of Nicholas II and speculate what would have happened to Russia if he had remained on the throne, after the Great War ended – war which Russia was on the verge of victory.

***

More than a century after his tragic death, the last Emperor of Russia, continues to fascinate historians and the general public alike. Historians and writers in particular, tend to focus and debate Nicholas II’s failures as a ruler, while often ignoring his many achievements.

Academically lazy historians and writers overlook (or ignore) the fact that the reign of Nicholas II witnessed a vivacious and in some cases, unprecedented bourgeoning of political, social, economic and cultural activity whose diversity and richness are today being uncovered by specialized post-Soviet studies of the period. It is a credit to the diverse achievements of Nicholas II which resulted the advances of Imperial Russia in industry, agriculture, education, labour, and the creation of responsible, educated citizens who were gradually becoming constructive contributors to the government’s political activity.

Nicholas II was associated with several epithets reflecting the wide range of opinions about his reign, from extremely negative to revered. These labels were primarily used by his political adversaries and critics, particularly during and after the Russian Revolution. 

Critical epithets, such as “Nicholas the Bloody” or “Bloody Nicholas”, were the most common and enduring negative epithets. They arose after the Khodynka Tragedy at his coronation festivities in May 1896 and, more significantly, after the Bloody Sunday massacre in 1905.

To this day, Nicholas II’s detractors describe him as an “indecisive, weak-willed, and out-of-touch ruler”. Russian President Vladimir Putin described Nicholas II as an “erroneous and absurd ruler”, while Metropolitan Tikhon (1865-1925) remembered Nicholas as “one of the most successful and yet most tragic leaders of the Russian state”.

PHOTO: journalist and politician Maxim Shevchenko

During a recent Russian-language interview, journalist and politician[1] Maxim Shevchenko [b. 1966] referred to Nicholas II as “the worst ruler in the history of the country”. According to Shevchenko, for decades, a “lulling mythology” has been created around the Russian Empire: the film Адмиралъ / Admiral (2008) about Alexander Kolchak, the transfer of Anton Denikin’s ashes to the Donskoy Monastery in Moscow (2005), and the opening of a memorial plaque to Carl Gustaf Mannerheim in St. Petersburg (2016), as examples. The journalist believes that all these are nothing more than “beautiful fairy tales” about persons “allegedly close to Emperor Nicholas II. Each of whom was actually defeated,” rants Shevchenko, and they were swept away with hatred by their own people.”

In Shevchenko’s opinion, the last Russian Tsar was not worthy of canonization by the Moscow Patriachate in 2000. The journalist called Nicholas II “a criminal” for the fact that on his order a peaceful demonstration was brutally suppressed on 9th January 1905. He further accuses NIcholas II of the disaster of the Russian fleet near Tsushima and in general of the defeat of Russia in the war with Japan (1904-05). According to Shevchenko, the Romanov dynasty “drowned Russia in blood, the revolution and civil war are the consequences of the inept management of Russia by Nicholas II.”

PHOTO: historian and author Pyotr (Peter) Multatuli

Russian Historian and author Pyotr Multatuli [b. 1969] fundamentally disagrees with Shevchenko. In his opinion, Nicholas II is a holy Tsar-martyr and a great reformer. According to Multatuli, more reforms were carried out under Russia’s last Tsar than under any of his predecessors. Under the last Emperor, 80% of the railways were laid, including the Trans-Siberian Railway. The historian believes that if this railway had not existed at that time, the consequences of the Russo-Japanese War would have been completely catastrophic, the Japanese could easily have reached Krasnoyarsk.

*CLICK on the following link, to read more about the reforms and accomplishments made during the 22+ year reign of Nicholas II – 70 facts about Emperor Nicholas II and his reign

PHOTO: politician and publicist Yegor Kholmogorov

Russian politician and publicist Yegor Kholmogorov [b. 1975] drew attention to just two of the merits of Nicholas II. First were Nicholas II’s efforts and reforms to end hunger. Under Nicholas II, not a single crop failure led to the deaths of millions, as compared, for example to the famine in the Volga region in the first years of Soviet power.

Secondly, the industrialization of the country. Stalinist propaganda hushed up this undoubted merit of Alexander III and Nicholas II. Bolshevik and Western propaganda painted pre-revolutionary Russia as a backward agrarian country. The truth is that Russia at that time was pursuing a path of industrialization at an unprecedented pace, ahead of almost all developing nations, with the possible exception of the United States.

According to Kholmogorov, if the Emperor had remained on the throne, “Russia would have experienced significant prosperity”. Without revolutions and social upheavals, the country would experience an economic boom. Kholmogorov also believes that Nicholas II was not at all a weak and mediocre Tsar, as he is often presented. He was a smart ruler who understood the tasks of the country and knew how to bet on outstanding politicians, such as Pyotr Stolypin (1862-1911).

According to Kholmogorov, World War II could have been avoided, since in 1918 Germany would have been finally defeated. World War II is a consequence of the chain of events launched by the February 1917 Revolution and the overthrow of Nicholas II. That is, “all the victims of the first half of the 20th century are on the conscience of those who started and who carried out this revolution”, he concluded.

NOTES:

[1] Maxim Shevchenko s a Russian journalist, politician, public figure, publicist, human rights activist, radio host, TV presenter, and video blogger. He has served as leader of the Russian Party of Freedom and Justice since March 2021.

The Russian Party of Freedom and Justice (RPSS) is a Russian center-left political party. It was created as the Communist Party of Social Justice (CPSU) at the founding congress on April 8, 2012 and officially registered on May 28, 2012. According to the party charter, it declared the construction of a socialist state.

© Paul Gilbert. 15 December 2025

***

While my research is dedicated to clearing the name of Russia’s much slandered Tsar, I am also actively looking for articles and news stories on the Romanovs, from Russian archival and media sources, which may be of interest to my readers.

In exchange for this 18-page booklet, please consider making a small $5 or $10 donation in aid of my research. These donations are of great assistance in helping me offset the cost of obtaining and translating documents from Russian archival sources, which are often paid for out of my own pocket. It is these documents which help present new facts and information on the life and reign of Nicholas II. In addition, my research continues to debunking many of the myths and lies which exist more than a century after his death and martyrdom.

Please note, that there is NO obligation, thank you for your consideration!

CLICK HERE TO MAKE A DONATION

Fabergé’s Imperial Winter Egg sells for over $30 million USD

On 2nd December 2025, Carl Fabergé’s legendary Winter Egg sold at auction for more than $30.2 million USD to an anonymous buyer. For the third time in its history, the Winter Egg is now the most valuable Fabergé item ever sold.

The Winter Egg was first sold by Christie’s in 1994 for 7.3 million Swiss francs, setting what was then a world record for a Fabergé item. Eight years later, in 2002, the egg broke its own record when it fetched $9.6 million at a Christie’s auction in New York City.

The Winter Egg was presented to the Dowager Empress Maria Feodorovna by her son, Emperor Nicholas II as an Easter gift in 1913. What makes this particular egg so rare, is that for the first time in the history of the Imperial Easter Eggs, the design was created by a woman: Alma Theresia Pihl-Klee (1888-1976), the niece of the master August Wilhelm Holmström (1829-1903), who brought this project to life.

PHOTO: Alma Theresia Pihl-Klee (1888-1976)

Margo Oganesian, Christie’s head of department for Fabergé and Russian works of art, said: “Christie’s is honoured to have been entrusted with the sale of the exquisite Winter Egg by Fabergé for the third time in our history.

“Today’s result sets a new world auction record for a work by Fabergé, reaffirming the enduring significance of this masterpiece and celebrating the rarity and brilliance of what is widely regarded as one of Fabergé’s finest creations, both technically and artistically.

“With only a handful of imperial Easter eggs remaining in private hands, this was an exceptional and historic opportunity for collectors to acquire a work of unparalleled importance.”

The author of this article believes that the Winter Egg should be returned to Russia, where it originated and where it belongs today. It would be a most kind and generous gesture on the part of the anonymous buyer to gift it to either the Fabergé Museum in St. Petersburg – which has 9 Fabergé Imperial Easter Eggs – or the Armoury of the Moscow Kremlin, which has 10 Fabergé Imperial Easter Eggs.

FURTHER READING:

The Imperial legacy of Carl Fabergé (1846-1920) + PHOTOS

Christie’s to auction Fabergé’s legendary “Winter Egg” – again!

© Paul Gilbert. 10 December 2025

NEW BOOK – Sovereign No. 16 (Winter 2026)

*You can order this title from most AMAZON outlets, including
the United States, United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Australia,
France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Sweden,
Brazil, Mexico and Japan
*Note: prices are quoted in local currencies

CLICK HERE TO ORDER THE PAPERBACK EDITION @ $20.00 USD

English. Large format 8-1/2″ x 11-1/2″. 132 pages. 124 Black & White photos

The No. 16 Winter 2026 issue of SOVEREIGN features 28 articles about Russia’s last Tsar, his family, the Romanov dynasty and the history of Imperial Russia. These articles have been researched and written by independent historian and author Paul Gilbert. His works are based on new research from Russian archival and media sources.

Please note, that this issue features 3 articles researched and written by Russian historians (see list below). These articles have been translated and published and published in English for the first time.

In an effort to preserve his 30+ years of research, the author has reproduced a selection of the more than 950 articles he has written for his blog. They are made available in a printed format for the first time. The author has updated many of the articles in this issue with additional information and photos. In addition, this issue features one new First English translation.

The No. 15 issue features the following 28 articles:

[1] Nicholas II’s visits to the Marfo-Mariinsky Convent in Moscow – 1912, 1913 and 1914

[2] 25th anniversary of the canonization of Nicholas II by the Moscow Patriarchate

[3] Empress Alexandra Feodorovna’s photo album sells at St. Petersburg auction

[4] Lord Mountbatten’s letter regarding Anna Anderson

[5] Monument to Nicholas II and his family to be installed in Mogilev

[6] New monument to Nicholas II installed in Krasnodar

[7] The fate of the kokshniks presented to OTMA in Kostroma (1913)

[8] Divine Liturgy for the Imperial Family performed in the Winter Palace

[9] Thousands of items at Pavlovsk, have not been return to the Alexander Palace

[10] Faithful to the End: Prince Vasily Alexandrovich Dolgorukov

[11] The Great Imperial Crown Of the Russian Empire

[12] The Imperial Legacy of Carl Fabergé (1846-1920)

[13] In 2007, General Wrangel’s grandson decrid Bolshevism, Lenin and Stalin

[14] Nicholas II wanted reforms, Lenin wanted recolutions: who was right?

[15] Obituary: Maria Dmitrievna Ivanova-Tatishcheva (1930-2025)

[16] Tsar’s Days in Ekaterinburg 16/17 July 2025

[17] Chinese Theater at Tsarskoye Selo to be restored

[18] State Halls in the Alexander Palace reopened after restoration

[19] The marriage that shocked The Russian Empire

[20] The fate of four faithful retainers of the Imperial Family

[21] Nicholas II visits the Iverskaya Chapel in Moscow

[22] “They did not betray their oath” —The fate of the generals who reamained loyal to Nicholas II

[23] Nicholas II’s menu: culinary preferences of Russia’s last Tsar

[24] Carpet from Governor’s House in Tobolsk preserved in United States ,museum

[25] Russia honours the Romanovs

SPECIAL TO THIS ISSUE OF SOVEREIGN

[26] Confession of a regicide Pyotr Ermakov’s deathbed confession 1952

[27] Trotsky’s version of the murder of the Imperial Family

[28] Attempts at Church Reform bythe Holy Emperor Nicholas IIAL TO THIS ISSUE OF

***

Back issues of SOVEREIGN

No. 15 Summer 2025

No. 14 Winter 2025

No. 13 Summer 2024

No. 12 Winter 2024

NOTE: back issues of Nos. 1 to 12 are now out of print.
Second-hand copies are available on AMAZON and eBay
.

© Paul Gilbert. 1 December 2025